Language:English
Ajax v FC Utrecht
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ajax (Local)
Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.51%57.96%58.07%59.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6965.36%62.39%62.50%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Utrecht (Visit)
Prediction 19.65%5.09fair odd
EV +6.08%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.00%19.68%19.71%21.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.814.805.4023.81%20.79%20.83%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.28%4.49fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%22.37%22.22%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.114.104.4028.57%24.33%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajax (Local): 58.07%; FC Utrecht (Visit): 19.65%; Draw: 22.28%. For FC Utrecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV +6.08%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.084% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.06%E -0.704%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 14:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.02%EV -0.988%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.95%E -0.443%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.63%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -9.75%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.98%EV -4.52%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.94%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.92%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.53%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -22.01%E -6.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |