A Escola das Odds

Ajax v FC Utrecht

Início: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Final: Ajax 1–2 FC Utrecht

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ajax (Local)

Previsão 58.07%1.72odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.51%57.96%58.07%59.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.601.6965.36%62.39%62.50%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Previsão 19.65%5.09odd justa
EV +6.08%
Vantagem +1.13%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.084%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.00%19.68%19.71%21.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.814.805.4023.81%20.79%20.83%18.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.28%4.49odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.443%
Kelly -0.574%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.68%22.37%22.22%24.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.114.104.4028.57%24.33%24.39%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV +6.08%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.084%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.06%E -0.704%K -0.915%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:35
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.02%EV -0.988%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 13:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.95%E -0.443%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 14:35
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:33
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:23
BetAnything1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:24
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.63%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -9.75%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:34
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:35
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:35
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.98%EV -4.52%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 13:48
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:24
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:23
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.94%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:49
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:49
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 13:49
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 13:49
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.92%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:32
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.53%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 13:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -22.01%E -6.29%K -8.80%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-10 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-05-10 14:34