La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ajax v FC Utrecht
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ajax (Local)
Predicción 58.07%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.51%57.96%58.07%59.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6965.36%62.39%62.50%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Utrecht (Visitante)
Predicción 19.65%5.09momio equitativo
EV +6.08%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.00%19.68%19.71%21.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.814.805.4023.81%20.79%20.83%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.28%4.49momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.443%
Kelly -0.574%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.68%22.37%22.22%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.114.104.4028.57%24.33%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV +6.08%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.084% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.06%E -0.704%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 14:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.02%EV -0.988%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.95%E -0.443%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| BetAnything | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.63%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -9.75%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.98%EV -4.52%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.94%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.92%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.53%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -22.01%E -6.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |