L’École des cotesFrançais
Ajax v FC Utrecht
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ajax (Local)
Prévision 58.07%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.51%57.96%58.07%59.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6965.36%62.39%62.50%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Utrecht (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.65%5.09cote équitable
EV +6.08%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.00%19.68%19.71%21.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.814.805.4023.81%20.79%20.83%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.28%4.49cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -0.574%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.68%22.37%22.22%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.114.104.4028.57%24.33%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV +6.08%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.084% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.06%E -0.704%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +2.15%E +0.414%K +0.513%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 14:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV +0.190%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.02%EV -0.988%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.65%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.95%E -0.443%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.57%E -6.86%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| BetAnything | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.63%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -9.75%E -2.41%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.98%EV -4.52%E -0.931%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.21%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.29%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.09%E -3.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.94%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.18%E -0.972%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.34%E -3.28%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.92%EV -7.52%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.18%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.32%E -4.03%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.41%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.53%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -8.64%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.86%E -2.72%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.51%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -22.01%E -6.29%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |