A Escola das Odds

Ajax v FC Utrecht

Início: 2026-05-24 10:15 UTC

Final: Ajax 1–1 FC Utrecht

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ajax (Local)

Previsão 43.92%2.28odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -0.927%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.00%43.94%43.82%46.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.972.112.102.2350.76%47.36%47.62%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Previsão 30.12%3.32odd justa
EV +4.81%
Vantagem +1.38%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescimento +0.093%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.83%30.11%30.17%31.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.113.103.4835.71%32.16%32.26%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.97%3.85odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -0.700%
Kelly -0.955%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.96%25.95%26.01%28.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.523.553.7533.33%28.42%28.17%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV +4.81%E +1.38%K +1.94%G +0.093%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -3.41%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.12%E -0.652%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 10:10
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:10
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 10:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:09
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:59
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.60%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 10:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:40
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 10:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 10:08
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 09:39
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -10.41%E -5.10%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 09:50
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -13.48%E -6.85%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.66%E -4.37%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 09:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.17%E -6.08%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.67%E -5.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -22.10%E -7.37%K -11.05%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-24 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-24 10:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-24 10:10