La escuela de los momios

Ajax v FC Utrecht

Inicio: 2026-05-24 10:15 UTC

Final: Ajax 1–1 FC Utrecht

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ajax (Local)

Predicción 43.92%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.927%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.00%43.94%43.82%46.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.112.102.2350.76%47.36%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Predicción 30.12%3.32momio equitativo
EV +4.81%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.83%30.11%30.17%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.4835.71%32.16%32.26%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.97%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.700%
Kelly -0.955%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%25.95%26.01%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.523.553.7533.33%28.42%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV +4.81%E +1.38%K +1.94%G +0.093%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -3.41%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.12%E -0.652%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 10:10
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:10
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 10:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:09
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:59
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.60%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 10:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:40
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 10:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 10:08
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 09:39
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -10.41%E -5.10%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 09:50
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -13.48%E -6.85%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.66%E -4.37%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 09:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.17%E -6.08%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.67%E -5.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -22.10%E -7.37%K -11.05%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-24 10:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-24 10:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-24 10:10