L’École des cotes

Ajax v FC Utrecht

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 10:15 UTC

Score final : Ajax 1–1 FC Utrecht

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ajax (Local)

Prévision 43.92%2.28cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.927%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.00%43.94%43.82%46.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.112.102.2350.76%47.36%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Utrecht (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.12%3.32cote équitable
EV +4.81%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%30.11%30.17%31.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.4835.71%32.16%32.26%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.700%
Kelly -0.955%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%25.95%26.01%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.523.553.7533.33%28.42%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV +4.81%E +1.38%K +1.94%G +0.093%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -3.41%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.12%E -0.652%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 10:10
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:10
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 10:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:09
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:59
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.60%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 10:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:40
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 10:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 10:08
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 09:39
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -10.41%E -5.10%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 09:50
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -13.48%E -6.85%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.66%E -4.37%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 09:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.17%E -6.08%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.67%E -5.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -22.10%E -7.37%K -11.05%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-24 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-24 10:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-24 10:10