مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ajax v FC Utrecht

البداية: 2026-05-24 10:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ajax 1–1 FC Utrecht

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ajax (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.92%2.28السعر العادل
EV -2.07%
الأفضلية -0.927%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.00%43.94%43.82%46.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.972.112.102.2350.76%47.36%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Utrecht (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.12%3.32السعر العادل
EV +4.81%
الأفضلية +1.38%
Kelly +1.94%
النمو +0.093%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.83%30.11%30.17%31.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.113.103.4835.71%32.16%32.26%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.97%3.85السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -0.700%
Kelly -0.955%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.96%25.95%26.01%28.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.523.553.7533.33%28.42%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV +4.81%E +1.38%K +1.94%G +0.093%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -3.41%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.08%EV -2.07%E -0.927%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%EV +0.893%E +0.267%K +0.380%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.57%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 10:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.12%E -0.652%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 10:10
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:10
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 10:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 10:09
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 10:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:59
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.55%EV -2.51%E -1.13%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.60%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 10:00
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.46%E -3.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.13%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 10:00
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -8.21%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.89%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.63%E -0.700%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 09:40
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -4.70%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 09:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 10:10
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -6.90%E -3.25%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 10:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 10:10
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.65%E -4.16%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.64%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 10:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 09:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -8.14%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -7.82%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 09:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 09:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.71%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 10:08
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 09:39
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -10.41%E -5.10%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.65%E -3.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 10:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 09:50
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -13.48%E -6.85%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -12.66%E -4.37%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 09:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.97%E -4.86%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.17%E -6.08%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -15.67%E -5.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -22.10%E -7.37%K -11.05%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-24 10:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-24 10:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-24 10:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-24 10:10