Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 3.97
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajax (Local): 41.28%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 33.55%; Draw: 25.17%. For FC Twente Enschede (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.645%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV +0.645%E +0.215%K +0.323%G +0.002% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.46%EV -0.081%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.38%EV -2.04%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.38%EV -2.04%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -4.05%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.35%E -0.605%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 07:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -1.84%E -0.473%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.48%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -6.74%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 18:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 23:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -8.08%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.92%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -13.31%E -6.34%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.70%EV -8.41%E -3.08%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -15.37%E -7.50%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-02 06:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-02 06:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.57%EV -12.48%E -5.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.77%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.10%E -4.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.77%E -4.91%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-04 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -19.48%E -8.12%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.98%E -7.09%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |