L’École des cotes

Ajax v FC Twente Enschede

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ajax (Local)

Prévision 41.28%2.42cote équitable
EV -0.920%
Avantage -0.383%
Kelly -0.657%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.08%41.26%41.25%43.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.272.282.4048.78%44.07%43.86%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Twente Enschede (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.55%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.645%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.37%33.52%33.58%34.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.782.803.0041.67%36.02%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV -0.081%
Avantage -0.021%
Kelly -0.027%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.22%25.16%27.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.663.653.9732.26%27.35%27.40%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV +0.645%E +0.215%K +0.323%G +0.002%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.46%EV -0.081%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 18:54
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.38%EV -2.04%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.38%EV -2.04%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 18:49
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:50
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:30
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -4.05%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.35%E -0.605%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 14:19
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 07:24
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:40
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -1.84%E -0.473%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.48%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:50
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:50
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:54
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:49
Bovada2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -6.74%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:48
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 18:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 23:24
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 23:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:54
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -8.08%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.92%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:53
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -13.31%E -6.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.70%EV -8.41%E -3.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 18:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 18:50
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -15.37%E -7.50%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 06:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 06:40
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.57%EV -12.48%E -5.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.77%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.10%E -4.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 18:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.77%E -4.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -19.48%E -8.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.98%E -7.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-04 18:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-04 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-04 18:45
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-04 18:50