مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ajax v FC Twente Enschede

البداية: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ajax (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.28%2.42السعر العادل
EV -0.920%
الأفضلية -0.383%
Kelly -0.657%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.08%41.26%41.25%43.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.272.282.4048.78%44.07%43.86%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Twente Enschede (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.55%2.98السعر العادل
EV +0.645%
الأفضلية +0.215%
Kelly +0.323%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.37%33.52%33.58%34.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.782.803.0041.67%36.02%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.17%3.97السعر العادل
EV -0.081%
الأفضلية -0.021%
Kelly -0.027%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.46%25.22%25.16%27.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.663.653.9732.26%27.35%27.40%25.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%EV +0.645%E +0.215%K +0.323%G +0.002%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.46%EV -0.081%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 18:54
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.38%EV -2.04%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%EV -2.57%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.38%EV -2.04%E -0.698%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.66%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.65%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 18:49
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:50
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%EV -0.920%E -0.383%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%EV -2.71%E -0.934%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:30
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.30%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.79%EV -4.05%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.35%E -0.605%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 14:19
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.64%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 07:24
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:40
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -1.84%E -0.473%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.10%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.48%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:50
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:49
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:50
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:54
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -6.06%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:49
Bovada2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -6.74%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:48
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 18:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 23:24
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 23:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:50
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:54
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.87%E -2.58%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -8.08%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.92%EV -5.87%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:53
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -13.31%E -6.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.70%EV -8.41%E -3.08%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 18:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.05%E -2.20%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 18:50
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 18:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -15.37%E -7.50%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 06:35
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 06:40
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.57%EV -12.48%E -5.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.10%E -4.19%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 18:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.77%E -4.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -14.43%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -12.10%E -4.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 18:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.77%E -4.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -19.48%E -8.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.98%E -7.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-04 18:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-04 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-04 18:45
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.60%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-04 18:50