StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca v Monterrey

2026-11-08 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Matchresultat

31 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca (Hemma)

Prognos 55.65%1.80rättvist odds
EV -4.84%
Fördel -2.83%
Kelly -6.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.54%55.79%55.67%60.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.611.621.7169.44%62.19%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Borta)

Prognos 22.20%4.50rättvist odds
EV +16.54%
Fördel +3.15%
Kelly +3.89%
Tillväxt +0.644%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.44%21.92%22.19%22.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.434.305.2525.64%22.55%23.26%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.15%4.51rättvist odds
EV +1.90%
Fördel +0.413%
Kelly +0.528%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.05%22.29%22.14%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.144.154.6026.32%24.15%24.10%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Toluca (Hemma): 55.65%; Monterrey (Borta): 22.20%; Oavgjort: 22.15%. För Monterrey (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.50. 13 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.25, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +16.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (31 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010%3.3%2026-11-01 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010%3.3%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -15.97%E -10.58%K -31.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV +2.11%E +0.459%K +0.587%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.36%EV -19.86%E -13.80%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.00%EV -0.108%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 01:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 04:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 04:20
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -3.86%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 03:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 03:55
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 03:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 03:54
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.70%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 04:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 04:15
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.39%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 04:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.07%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -12.76%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 03:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:21
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (2)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-11-01 07:40
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 54.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%15.9%2026-11-01 03:20
Arbitrage (12 kombinationer) +0.74%Pinnacle 1.71 (58.9%) / ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.2%) / ATG (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)Visa alla 12 kombinationer
Toluca (Hemma)Monterrey (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%