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StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)
+ Neues ModellAlle Modelle

Toluca v Monterrey

2026-11-08 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Direkter Vergleich

31 Wettanbieter (10 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 55.65%1.80faire Quote
EV -4.84%
Vorteil -2.83%
Kelly -6.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.54%55.79%55.67%60.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.611.621.7169.44%62.19%61.73%58.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.20%4.50faire Quote
EV +16.54%
Vorteil +3.15%
Kelly +3.89%
Wachstum +0.644%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.44%21.92%22.19%22.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.434.305.2525.64%22.55%23.26%19.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.15%4.51faire Quote
EV +1.90%
Vorteil +0.413%
Kelly +0.528%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.05%22.29%22.14%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.144.154.6026.32%24.15%24.10%21.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Toluca (Heim): 55.65%; Monterrey (Auswärts): 22.20%; Unentschieden: 22.15%. Für Monterrey (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.50. 13 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 5.25 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +16.54%.

Wettanbieterquoten (31 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010%3.3%2026-11-01 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010%3.3%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -15.97%E -10.58%K -31.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV +2.11%E +0.459%K +0.587%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.36%EV -19.86%E -13.80%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.00%EV -0.108%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 01:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 04:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 04:20
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -3.86%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 03:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 03:55
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 03:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 03:54
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.70%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 04:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 04:15
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.39%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 04:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.07%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -12.76%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 03:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:21
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (2)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-11-01 07:40
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 54.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%15.9%2026-11-01 03:20
Arbitrage (12 Kombinationen) +0.74%Pinnacle 1.71 (58.9%) / ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.2%) / ATG (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)Alle 12 Kombinationen anzeigen
Toluca (Heim)Monterrey (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%