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Toluca v Monterrey
Resultado del partido
Toluca (Local)
Predicción 55.65%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.84%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -6.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.54%55.79%55.67%60.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.611.621.7169.44%62.19%61.73%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Monterrey (Visitante)
Predicción 22.20%4.50momio equitativo
EV +16.54%
Ventaja +3.15%
Kelly +3.89%
Crecimiento +0.644%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.44%21.92%22.19%22.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.434.305.2525.64%22.55%23.26%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.15%4.51momio equitativo
EV +1.90%
Ventaja +0.413%
Kelly +0.528%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%22.29%22.14%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.154.6026.32%24.15%24.10%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toluca (Local): 55.65%; Monterrey (Visitante): 22.20%; Empate: 22.15%. Para Monterrey (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.50. 13 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +16.54%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010% | 3.3% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-11-01 01:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-11-01 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -15.97%E -10.58%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-11-01 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV +2.11%E +0.459%K +0.587%G +0.012% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.36%EV -19.86%E -13.80%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.00%EV -0.108%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-11-01 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-01 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-01 04:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -3.86%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-11-01 04:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-01 03:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-01 03:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-11-01 03:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-11-01 03:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-11-01 03:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-11-01 03:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.70%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-11-01 04:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-11-01 04:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.39%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-11-01 04:21 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.07%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -12.76%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-11-01 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-11-01 04:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-11-01 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-11-01 04:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-11-01 04:21 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (2)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-11-01 07:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.60% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70% | 15.9% | 2026-11-01 03:20 |
Arbitraje (12 combinaciones) +0.74%Pinnacle 1.71 (58.9%) / ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.2%) / ATG (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)Ver las 12 combinaciones
| Toluca (Local) | Monterrey (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%) | ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%) | +0.739% |
| Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%) | ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%) | +0.739% |
| Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%) | Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%) | +0.739% |
| Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%) | Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%) | +0.739% |
| Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%) | Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%) | +0.042% |