Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca v Monterrey

2026-11-08 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca (Local)

Prévision 55.65%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -6.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.54%55.79%55.67%60.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.611.621.7169.44%62.19%61.73%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.20%4.50cote équitable
EV +16.54%
Avantage +3.15%
Kelly +3.89%
Croissance +0.644%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.44%21.92%22.19%22.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.434.305.2525.64%22.55%23.26%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.15%4.51cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.413%
Kelly +0.528%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%22.29%22.14%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.144.154.6026.32%24.15%24.10%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Toluca (Local) : 55.65% ; Monterrey (Visiteur) : 22.20% ; Match nul : 22.15%. Pour Monterrey (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.50. 13 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.25, pour une espérance positive de +16.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010%3.3%2026-11-01 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -6.85%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV +16.54%E +3.15%K +3.89%G +0.644%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.413%K +0.528%G +0.010%3.3%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -13.74%E -8.87%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV +8.77%E +1.79%K +2.25%G +0.197%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -15.41%E -10.14%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.19%EV -15.97%E -10.58%K -31.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV +4.33%E +0.922%K +1.17%G +0.051%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -16.53%E -11.02%K -33.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV +2.11%E +0.459%K +0.587%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 01:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.36%EV -19.86%E -13.80%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.00%EV -0.108%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 01:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 04:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.55%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 04:20
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.93%EV -3.86%E -0.889%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.25%EV -6.51%E -3.87%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -5.66%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -10.28%E -2.54%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.18%E -4.96%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.77%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 03:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 03:55
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 03:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -8.99%E -2.19%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 03:54
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%EV -5.95%E -3.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.70%EV -9.21%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.07%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 04:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.74%E -5.33%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -6.96%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 04:15
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.85%E -6.08%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.21%E -2.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.39%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 04:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.07%E -7.64%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.31%EV -12.76%E -3.25%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.20%EV -12.50%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 03:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.07%E -4.23%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.44%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.82%E -4.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 04:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-11-01 07:40
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 54.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%15.9%2026-11-01 03:20
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +0.74%Pinnacle 1.71 (58.9%) / ATG (SE) 5.25 (19.2%) / ATG (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
Toluca (Local)Monterrey (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Pinnacle🎯 1.71 (58.9%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.9%)+0.739%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
Fanatics🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%
1xBet🎯 1.69 (59.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 5.25 (19.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.7%)+0.042%