Школа коэффициентов

Toluca v León

Начало: 2026-04-26 01:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Toluca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.56%1.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.29%
Преимущество -3.55%
Kelly -10.79%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.49

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.43%63.81%63.40%68.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.411.431.4977.52%70.68%69.93%67.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

León (Гости)

Прогноз 16.65%6.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +16.52%
Преимущество +2.36%
Kelly +2.75%
Рост +0.455%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.13%16.45%16.79%18.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.705.875.757.0021.28%17.04%17.39%14.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 19.79%5.05справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.90%
Преимущество +0.742%
Kelly +0.917%
Рост +0.036%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.14%19.74%19.81%22.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.674.705.2526.67%21.39%21.28%19.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002%5.3%2026-04-23 19:24
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002%5.3%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:29
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 14:54
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -14.19%E -10.51%K -40.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -16.09%E -12.19%K -50.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 19:25
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 19:24
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 19:24
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036%5.0%2026-04-23 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036%5.0%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:24
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.91%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.30%EV -2.83%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:35
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:04
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 14:59
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -3.62%E -0.625%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.08%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:59
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.02%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:55
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 20:05
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 17:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.79%E -6.88%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 15:00
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:54
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:55
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.64%EV -12.11%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:10
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 20:08
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-24 03:34
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.26%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-24 03:34
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.70%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-24 03:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 03:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:54
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:54
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.43%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -21.77%E -4.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.14%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%4.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%6.0%2026-04-24 03:35