Szkoła Kursów

Toluca v León

Początek: 2026-04-26 01:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Toluca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.56%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -5.29%
Przewaga -3.55%
Kelly -10.79%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.43%63.81%63.40%68.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.411.431.4977.52%70.68%69.93%67.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

León (Goście)

Prognoza 16.65%6.01kurs godziwy
EV +16.52%
Przewaga +2.36%
Kelly +2.75%
Wzrost +0.455%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.13%16.45%16.79%18.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.705.875.757.0021.28%17.04%17.39%14.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.79%5.05kurs godziwy
EV +3.90%
Przewaga +0.742%
Kelly +0.917%
Wzrost +0.036%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.14%19.74%19.81%22.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.674.705.2526.67%21.39%21.28%19.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002%5.3%2026-04-23 19:24
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002%5.3%2026-04-23 19:29
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:25
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:29
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 14:54
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -14.19%E -10.51%K -40.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -16.09%E -12.19%K -50.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 19:25
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 19:24
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 19:24
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036%5.0%2026-04-23 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036%5.0%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:24
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 64.91%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.30%EV -2.83%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:35
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:04
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 14:59
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -3.62%E -0.625%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.08%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:59
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.02%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:55
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:30
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 20:05
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:24
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 17:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.79%E -6.88%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 15:00
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:54
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:55
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.64%EV -12.11%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:10
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 20:08
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-24 03:34
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.26%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-24 03:34
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.70%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-24 03:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-24 03:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:54
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:54
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.43%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -21.77%E -4.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.14%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-24 03:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%4.1%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%4.9%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%6.0%2026-04-24 03:35