La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Toluca v León
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Toluca (Casa)
Previsione 63.56%1.57quota equa
EV -5.29%
Vantaggio -3.55%
Kelly -10.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.43%63.81%63.40%68.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.411.431.4977.52%70.68%69.93%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
León (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.65%6.01quota equa
EV +16.52%
Vantaggio +2.36%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.455%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.13%16.45%16.79%18.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.875.757.0021.28%17.04%17.39%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 19.79%5.05quota equa
EV +3.90%
Vantaggio +0.742%
Kelly +0.917%
Crescita +0.036%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.14%19.74%19.81%22.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.674.705.2526.67%21.39%21.28%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -14.19%E -10.51%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -16.09%E -12.19%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.91%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.30%EV -2.83%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -3.62%E -0.625%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.08%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.02%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.79%E -6.88%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.64%EV -12.11%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.26%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.70%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.43%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -21.77%E -4.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.14%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |