L’École des cotesToluca v León
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 63.56%1.57cote équitable
EV -5.29%
Avantage -3.55%
Kelly -10.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%63.81%63.40%68.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.411.431.4977.52%70.68%69.93%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
León (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.65%6.01cote équitable
EV +16.52%
Avantage +2.36%
Kelly +2.75%
Croissance +0.455%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.13%16.45%16.79%18.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.875.757.0021.28%17.04%17.39%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.79%5.05cote équitable
EV +3.90%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +0.917%
Croissance +0.036%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.14%19.74%19.81%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.674.705.2526.67%21.39%21.28%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -14.19%E -10.51%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -16.09%E -12.19%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.91%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.30%EV -2.83%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -3.62%E -0.625%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.08%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.02%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.79%E -6.88%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.64%EV -12.11%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.26%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.70%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.43%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -21.77%E -4.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.14%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |