La escuela de los momiosToluca v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toluca (Local)
Predicción 63.56%1.57momio equitativo
EV -5.29%
Ventaja -3.55%
Kelly -10.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%63.81%63.40%68.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.411.431.4977.52%70.68%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
León (Visitante)
Predicción 16.65%6.01momio equitativo
EV +16.52%
Ventaja +2.36%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.455%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.13%16.45%16.79%18.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.875.757.0021.28%17.04%17.39%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.79%5.05momio equitativo
EV +3.90%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +0.917%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.14%19.74%19.81%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.674.705.2526.67%21.39%21.28%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV +0.928%E +0.182%K +0.226%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -13.55%E -9.96%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -14.19%E -10.51%K -40.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +16.52%E +2.36%K +2.75%G +0.455% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -14.82%E -11.06%K -43.60%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.03%E -0.618%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -16.09%E -12.19%K -50.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV +12.36%E +1.83%K +2.15%G +0.266% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -18.00%E -13.95%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV +8.20%E +1.26%K +1.49%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +4.04%E +0.646%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV +3.90%E +0.742%K +0.917%G +0.036% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.91%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.30%EV -2.83%E -0.577%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -0.126%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -3.62%E -0.625%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.08%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.02%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.53%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.05%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -4.29%E -0.746%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 17:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -8.45%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.79%E -6.88%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -10.11%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.64%EV -12.11%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.04%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.01%E -7.86%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -12.61%E -2.40%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 20:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -15.89%E -3.74%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.66%EV -11.65%E -8.38%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.26%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.70%EV -12.92%E -9.43%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.84%EV -15.11%E -2.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -16.77%E -3.35%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.43%EV -10.37%E -7.36%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.43%EV -21.77%E -4.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.14%EV -14.90%E -3.47%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.50% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |