預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Toluca v Atlas

開賽時間: 2026-09-12 23:06 UTC

最終賽果: Toluca 5–2 Atlas

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

48 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Toluca (主隊)

預測 68.85%1.45公平賠率
EV -0.170%
優勢 -0.117%
Kelly -0.378%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.45

博彩公司預測分布
65.54%68.66%69.10%70.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.291.361.361.4577.52%73.66%73.53%68.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Atlas (客隊)

預測 12.00%8.33公平賠率
EV +2.01%
優勢 +0.237%
Kelly +0.268%
成長率 +0.005%

假設最高賠率為 8.50

博彩公司預測分布
11.00%12.20%11.89%13.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.257.317.008.5016.00%13.67%14.29%11.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.15%5.22公平賠率
EV +0.540%
優勢 +0.103%
Kelly +0.127%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 5.25

博彩公司預測分布
17.65%19.15%19.02%20.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.684.605.2523.81%21.37%21.74%19.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Toluca (主隊):68.85%;Atlas (客隊):12.00%;和局:19.15%。 對於「Atlas (客隊)」,該估計相當於8.33的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為8.50,對應+2.01%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (48 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +2.01%E +0.237%K +0.268%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 22:53
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.66%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.38%EV +1.41%E +0.167%K +0.189%G +0.003%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.96%EV -2.91%E -0.573%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 22:25
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.50%EV -10.95%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 22:36
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 22:56
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.540%E +0.103%K +0.127%G +0.001%6.7%2026-09-12 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -2.33%E -0.457%K -0.569%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -0.417%E -0.080%K -0.099%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 22:49
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.46%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.94%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.62%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:55
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:56
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -0.417%E -0.080%K -0.099%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -6.99%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 22:55
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.84%EV -0.170%E -0.117%K -0.378%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.75%EV -8.79%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 22:55
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 22:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 22:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 22:35
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.19%E -8.67%K -38.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 22:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:50
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:53
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:50
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -11.19%E -8.67%K -38.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 22:49
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 22:56
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.71%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.72%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -17.65%E -4.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.90%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.71%EV -24.99%E -4.00%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%EV -19.57%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-12 22:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-09-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-09-12 22:56
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.44%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-09-12 22:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.83%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-09-12 22:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.83%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-09-12 22:56
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%3.0%2026-09-12 22:56