Lingua:Italiano
Toluca v Atlas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Toluca (Casa)
Previsione 68.85%1.45quota equa
EV -0.170%
Vantaggio -0.117%
Kelly -0.378%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.54%68.66%69.10%70.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.361.361.4577.52%73.66%73.53%68.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Atlas (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.00%8.33quota equa
EV +2.01%
Vantaggio +0.237%
Kelly +0.268%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.00%12.20%11.89%13.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.317.008.5016.00%13.67%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 19.15%5.22quota equa
EV +0.540%
Vantaggio +0.103%
Kelly +0.127%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.65%19.15%19.02%20.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.684.605.2523.81%21.37%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toluca (Casa): 68.85%; Atlas (Trasferta): 12.00%; Pareggio: 19.15%. Per Atlas (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.33. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.01%.
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +2.01%E +0.237%K +0.268%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 22:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.66%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.38%EV +1.41%E +0.167%K +0.189%G +0.003% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.96%EV -2.91%E -0.573%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.50%EV -10.95%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 22:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.540%E +0.103%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -2.33%E -0.457%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -0.417%E -0.080%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.46%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.94%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.62%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -0.417%E -0.080%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -6.99%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.84%EV -0.170%E -0.117%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.75%EV -8.79%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.19%E -8.67%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:53 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -11.19%E -8.67%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.71%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.72%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -17.65%E -4.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.90%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.71%EV -24.99%E -4.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%EV -19.57%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.44% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 3.0% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |