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Toluca v Atlas
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Toluca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 68.85%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.170%
Преимущество -0.117%
Kelly -0.378%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.54%68.66%69.10%70.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.291.361.361.4577.52%73.66%73.53%68.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Atlas (Гости)
Прогноз 12.00%8.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.01%
Преимущество +0.237%
Kelly +0.268%
Рост +0.005%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.00%12.20%11.89%13.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.257.317.008.5016.00%13.67%14.29%11.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.15%5.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.540%
Преимущество +0.103%
Kelly +0.127%
Рост +0.001%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.65%19.15%19.02%20.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.684.605.2523.81%21.37%21.74%19.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Toluca (Хозяева): 68.85%; Atlas (Гости): 12.00%; Ничья: 19.15%. Для исхода «Atlas (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.33. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.01%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +2.01%E +0.237%K +0.268%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 22:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.66%EV -4.99%E -3.62%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.38%EV +1.41%E +0.167%K +0.189%G +0.003% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.96%EV -2.91%E -0.573%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.88%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.79%EV -1.83%E -0.224%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.33%EV -4.44%E -0.890%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.50%EV -10.95%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.19%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 22:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.540%E +0.103%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -2.33%E -0.457%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -9.12%E -6.91%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -3.99%E -0.499%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -0.417%E -0.080%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.46%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.94%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.62%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.88%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -6.39%E -0.819%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -0.417%E -0.080%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -6.99%E -0.902%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.84%EV -0.170%E -0.117%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.75%EV -8.79%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.25%E -0.849%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -9.99%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.32%EV -2.92%E -2.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -15.74%E -3.58%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.19%E -8.67%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -15.99%E -2.28%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:53 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.61%E -2.58%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -11.19%E -8.67%K -38.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -18.99%E -2.81%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -12.87%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -5.68%E -4.14%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.71%EV -6.37%E -4.68%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -16.70%E -3.84%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.72%EV -7.05%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.99%E -3.38%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.63%EV -17.65%E -4.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.90%EV -10.50%E -8.07%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.71%EV -24.99%E -4.00%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.40%EV -19.57%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.44% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.83% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.88% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 3.0% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |