Language:English
Tigres v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 69.21%1.44fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -11.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.33%69.32%69.20%72.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.45%76.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 12.31%8.12fair odd
EV +16.95%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.338%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.68%12.18%12.27%14.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.008.048.009.5016.67%12.44%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.48%5.41fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.301%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.21%18.49%18.53%20.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.015.005.5023.81%19.96%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 69.21%; Querétaro (Visit): 12.31%; Draw: 18.48%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.12. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -12.11%E -9.53%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.97%EV -12.80%E -10.16%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.66%EV -14.18%E -11.44%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -3.89%E -0.748%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.65%EV -16.26%E -13.44%K -77.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.85%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +7.71%E +0.882%K +0.995%G +0.077% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +4.64%E +0.545%K +0.618%G +0.029% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 05:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.74%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 12:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-09 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.04%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.01%EV -3.12%E -0.396%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.94%EV -2.59%E -0.492%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.65%E -6.55%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -22.37%E -5.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-09 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -11.37%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 05:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -10.72%E -8.31%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -16.91%E -2.50%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -15.90%E -3.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-08 12:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -4.49%E -3.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.07%EV -18.51%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -6.66%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-08 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.82%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.67%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -11.28%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -19.97%E -4.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-09 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -26.14%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -18.67%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-03-08 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |