La escuela de los momiosTigres v Querétaro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tigres (Local)
Predicción 69.21%1.44momio equitativo
EV -4.49%
Ventaja -3.26%
Kelly -11.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.33%69.32%69.20%72.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.45%76.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Querétaro (Visitante)
Predicción 12.31%8.12momio equitativo
EV +16.95%
Ventaja +1.78%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.338%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.68%12.18%12.27%14.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.008.048.009.5016.67%12.44%12.50%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.48%5.41momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.21%18.49%18.53%20.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.015.005.5023.81%19.96%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -12.11%E -9.53%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.97%EV -12.80%E -10.16%K -49.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.66%EV -14.18%E -11.44%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -3.89%E -0.748%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.65%EV -16.26%E -13.44%K -77.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.85%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +7.71%E +0.882%K +0.995%G +0.077% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +4.64%E +0.545%K +0.618%G +0.029% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 05:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 05:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.74%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 12:48 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-09 12:49 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.04%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.01%EV -3.12%E -0.396%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.94%EV -2.59%E -0.492%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 12:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.65%E -6.55%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -22.37%E -5.33%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-09 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -11.37%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 00:59 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 02:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 05:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -10.72%E -8.31%K -36.98%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -16.91%E -2.50%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -15.90%E -3.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-08 12:33 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -4.49%E -3.26%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.07%EV -18.51%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -6.66%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 19:34 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-08 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.82%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.67%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -11.28%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-08 12:30 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-08 10:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -19.97%E -4.61%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-09 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -26.14%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -18.67%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-03-08 12:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 11:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-09 21:10 |