A Escola das Odds

Tigres v Querétaro

Início: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tigres (Local)

Previsão 69.21%1.44odd justa
EV -4.49%
Vantagem -3.26%
Kelly -11.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.33%69.32%69.20%72.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.45%76.63%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Querétaro (Visitante)

Previsão 12.31%8.12odd justa
EV +16.95%
Vantagem +1.78%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescimento +0.338%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.68%12.18%12.27%14.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.008.048.009.5016.67%12.44%12.50%10.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 18.48%5.41odd justa
EV +1.66%
Vantagem +0.301%
Kelly +0.368%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.21%18.49%18.53%20.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.205.015.005.5023.81%19.96%20.00%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006%5.6%2026-03-04 01:05
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006%5.6%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -12.11%E -9.53%K -44.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 01:05
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.97%EV -12.80%E -10.16%K -49.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.66%EV -14.18%E -11.44%K -59.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -3.89%E -0.748%K -0.926%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 01:35
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.65%EV -16.26%E -13.44%K -77.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 01:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.85%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +7.71%E +0.882%K +0.995%G +0.077%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 01:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +4.64%E +0.545%K +0.618%G +0.029%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:49
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 05:45
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 05:45
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.74%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 12:48
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 19:54
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-09 12:49
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 11:30
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 11:30
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.04%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.01%EV -3.12%E -0.396%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.94%EV -2.59%E -0.492%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 12:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.65%E -6.55%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -22.37%E -5.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-09 12:50
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -11.37%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 00:59
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 02:10
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 05:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -10.72%E -8.31%K -36.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -16.91%E -2.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -15.90%E -3.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 12:33
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -4.49%E -3.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.07%EV -18.51%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -6.66%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:34
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.82%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.67%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -11.28%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 12:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:20
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:19
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:20
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -19.97%E -4.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-09 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -26.14%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -18.67%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-08 12:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%8.0%2026-03-09 11:29
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%8.0%2026-03-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-09 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-09 21:10