L’École des cotes

Tigres v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 69.21%1.44cote équitable
EV -4.49%
Avantage -3.26%
Kelly -11.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.33%69.32%69.20%72.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.311.311.3882.64%76.45%76.63%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.31%8.12cote équitable
EV +16.95%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.338%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.68%12.18%12.27%14.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.008.048.009.5016.67%12.44%12.50%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.48%5.41cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.301%
Kelly +0.368%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.21%18.49%18.53%20.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.015.005.5023.81%19.96%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006%5.6%2026-03-04 01:05
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +1.66%E +0.301%K +0.368%G +0.006%5.6%2026-03-04 01:05
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.191%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 01:50
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -12.11%E -9.53%K -44.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 01:05
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.97%EV -12.80%E -10.16%K -49.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +16.95%E +1.78%K +1.99%G +0.338%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -2.04%E -0.385%K -0.474%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 01:50
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -13.49%E -10.79%K -53.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 01:50
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.66%EV -14.18%E -11.44%K -59.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -3.89%E -0.748%K -0.926%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 01:35
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.65%EV -16.26%E -13.44%K -77.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV +10.79%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-05 01:40
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.85%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +7.71%E +0.882%K +0.995%G +0.077%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.96%E -0.564%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 01:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +4.64%E +0.545%K +0.618%G +0.029%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 12:49
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 05:45
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.56%E +0.189%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.54%EV +0.179%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 05:45
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.74%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 12:48
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 19:54
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -1.52%E -0.190%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-09 12:49
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 11:30
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -2.75%E -0.348%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -8.51%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 11:30
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 70.04%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.01%EV -3.12%E -0.396%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.94%EV -2.59%E -0.492%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.46%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.31%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 12:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.65%E -6.55%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -7.67%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -22.37%E -5.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-09 12:50
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.86%EV -11.37%E -1.58%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 00:59
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 02:10
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.58%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 05:10
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.83%E -1.98%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.20%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.81%EV -10.72%E -8.31%K -36.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.96%EV -16.91%E -2.50%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.23%EV -15.90%E -3.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 12:33
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.49%EV -4.49%E -3.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.07%EV -18.51%E -2.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.44%EV -6.66%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:34
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.57%E -4.87%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-08 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.82%EV -9.34%E -7.13%K -30.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.67%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -11.28%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 12:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:20
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:19
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -7.96%E -5.98%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -16.83%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 10:20
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.03%E -7.72%K -33.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -19.98%E -3.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -19.97%E -4.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-09 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -11.42%E -8.92%K -40.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -26.14%E -4.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -18.67%E -4.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-08 12:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%8.0%2026-03-09 11:29
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 69.65%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%8.0%2026-03-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-09 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-09 21:10