Language:English
Tigres v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 57.33%1.74fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.71%57.23%57.46%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.611.601.6867.11%62.21%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 18.45%5.42fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.451%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.37%18.48%18.41%19.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.025.035.5322.22%19.91%19.90%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.22%4.13fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%24.29%24.13%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.794.0628.57%26.49%26.42%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 57.33%; Puebla (Visit): 18.45%; Draw: 24.22%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.16%EV -3.68%E -2.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV +2.04%E +0.369%K +0.451%G +0.009% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.47%EV -8.70%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 03:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -4.83%E -2.91%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.22%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.73%EV -1.68%E -0.413%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.51%EV -3.68%E -2.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.33%EV -2.76%E -0.523%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 02:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.51%EV -3.68%E -2.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.33%EV -2.76%E -0.523%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.15%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 02:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -3.13%E -0.595%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -3.13%E -0.595%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 03:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -3.13%E -0.595%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 03:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.23%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.36%EV -8.84%E -5.56%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -4.05%E -0.778%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.55%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 02:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.36%EV -4.60%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -7.25%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -5.89%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -6.76%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.28%EV -9.42%E -5.96%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.23%EV -6.82%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.49%EV -5.07%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-27 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.13%E -0.783%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -11.61%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.98%E -2.10%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.74%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.30%EV -8.84%E -5.56%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.41%EV -8.66%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.58%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -9.58%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-27 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.77%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -9.58%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.77%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -9.58%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-27 02:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -10.56%E -6.77%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -9.58%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.71%E -7.60%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -11.43%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -11.43%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.24%E -4.35%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -11.43%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.24%E -4.35%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -11.43%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.24%E -4.35%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -11.43%E -2.38%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.24%E -4.35%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -12.35%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.40%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 57.58%EV -14.58%E -9.78%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.25%EV -13.27%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%EV -14.03%E -3.95%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-27 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.87%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -15.12%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -15.24%E -4.35%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-27 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -11.14%E -7.19%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -15.12%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -12.82%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -16.96%E -3.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.19%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.52% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.8% | 2026-09-27 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-27 02:25 |