Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tigres v Puebla

2026-09-27 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Testa a testa

33 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tigres (Casa)

Previsione 62.66%1.60quota equa
EV -5.38%
Vantaggio -3.56%
Kelly -10.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.34%62.59%62.66%63.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.471.481.5170.92%67.92%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Puebla (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.29%6.14quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -0.376%
Kelly -0.451%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.71%16.39%16.35%17.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.455.406.0020.00%18.34%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.05%4.75quota equa
EV -0.016%
Vantaggio -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.86%21.03%20.99%22.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.234.204.7525.64%23.62%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Tigres (Casa): 62.66%; Puebla (Trasferta): 16.29%; Pareggio: 21.05%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.751. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.750, con un valore atteso del -0.016%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -8.44%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -8.44%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.26%E -0.376%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 01:20
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:44
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.52%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.35%EV -5.68%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -1.07%E -0.227%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 02:24
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.016%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 01:44
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 01:24
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 01:34
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 01:24
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.44%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 01:24
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 02:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 02:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 02:45
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.42%EV -8.52%E -5.83%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.77%EV -4.38%E -0.745%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.33%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.46%EV -9.14%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.33%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -9.14%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -15.29%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 02:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.86%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 01:33
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:14
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -17.91%E -4.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-20 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.65%E -8.26%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 01:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.84%EV -11.65%E -8.26%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00%EV -17.91%E -4.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 02:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 08:04
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 60.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.49%16.3%2026-09-20 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-20 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-20 01:34