Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tigres v Puebla

2026-09-27 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 62.66%1.60cote équitable
EV -5.38%
Avantage -3.56%
Kelly -10.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.34%62.59%62.66%63.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.471.481.5170.92%67.92%67.57%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.29%6.14cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.376%
Kelly -0.451%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.71%16.39%16.35%17.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.455.406.0020.00%18.34%18.52%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.05%4.75cote équitable
EV -0.016%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.86%21.03%20.99%22.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.234.204.7525.64%23.62%23.81%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Tigres (Local) : 62.66% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 16.29% ; Match nul : 21.05%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.751. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.750, pour une espérance de -0.016% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -8.44%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -8.77%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -8.44%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -2.26%E -0.376%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 01:20
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:44
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.01%E -4.01%K -12.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.52%EV -6.64%E -4.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.35%EV -5.68%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -1.07%E -0.227%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 02:24
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -0.016%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 01:44
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 01:24
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.28%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 01:34
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 01:24
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -3.89%E -0.659%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -7.26%E -4.91%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.44%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 01:24
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.03%E -2.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.49%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 01:34
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 02:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 02:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -7.89%E -5.37%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.70%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 02:45
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.42%EV -8.52%E -5.83%K -18.51%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.77%EV -4.38%E -0.745%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.33%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.46%EV -9.14%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.33%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -9.14%E -6.31%K -20.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -15.29%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 02:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.40%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.86%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 01:33
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:14
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 02:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -9.77%E -6.78%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -17.91%E -4.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-20 01:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -11.65%E -8.26%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 01:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.84%EV -11.65%E -8.26%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -18.55%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00%EV -17.91%E -4.59%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 02:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 08:04
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 60.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.49%16.3%2026-09-20 01:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-20 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-20 01:34