Language:English
Pumas v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 39.56%2.53fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.733%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.02%39.91%39.58%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.5047.62%43.45%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 34.49%2.90fair odd
EV +3.46%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.97%34.11%34.44%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.682.653.0040.49%37.26%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%25.97%25.98%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.523.553.7833.33%28.41%28.17%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 39.56%; Pachuca (Visit): 34.49%; Draw: 25.95%. For Pachuca (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -16.92%E -8.06%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.240%K +0.365%G +0.003% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -1.90%E -0.501%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV +0.011%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -0.679%E -0.236%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -1.71%E -0.601%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 00:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.46%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.69%EV -2.16%E -0.572%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.81%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -1.10%E -0.440%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 00:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 00:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -7.83%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.09%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.58%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.06%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-18 00:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-18 00:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -11.78%E -5.28%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.63%EV -11.24%E -3.29%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-18 00:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -22.14%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-05-18 00:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.58%EV -14.15%E -6.52%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 34.78%EV -14.82%E -6.00%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.15% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 01:01 |