L’École des cotes

Pumas v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 01:02 UTC

Score final : Pumas 1–0 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 39.56%2.53cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.440%
Kelly -0.733%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.02%39.91%39.58%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.5047.62%43.45%43.48%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.49%2.90cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.97%34.11%34.44%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.682.653.0040.49%37.26%37.74%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.95%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.501%
Kelly -0.682%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%25.97%25.98%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.523.553.7833.33%28.41%28.17%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -16.92%E -8.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 01:01
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.240%K +0.365%G +0.003%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -1.90%E -0.501%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 00:59
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV +0.011%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -0.679%E -0.236%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 01:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -1.71%E -0.601%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 00:53
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.46%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.69%EV -2.16%E -0.572%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 00:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 01:01
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 01:00
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 00:59
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -1.10%E -0.440%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 00:58
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 00:58
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 01:00
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -7.83%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.09%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 00:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 01:01
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.58%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 01:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.06%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 01:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 01:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 00:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 00:58
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 00:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 01:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 01:01
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 01:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:58
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 00:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 00:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 01:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 01:00
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-18 01:01
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 00:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-18 01:01
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-18 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -11.78%E -5.28%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.63%EV -11.24%E -3.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-18 00:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -22.14%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-18 00:59
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.58%EV -14.15%E -6.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.78%EV -14.82%E -6.00%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-18 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.15%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-05-18 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-18 01:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-18 01:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-18 01:01
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-05-18 01:01
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-05-18 01:01