La scuola delle quote

Pumas v Pachuca

Inizio: 2026-05-18 01:02 UTC

Finale: Pumas 1–0 Pachuca

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pumas (Casa)

Previsione 39.56%2.53quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.440%
Kelly -0.733%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.02%39.91%39.58%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.5047.62%43.45%43.48%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pachuca (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.49%2.90quota equa
EV +3.46%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.73%
Crescita +0.060%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.97%34.11%34.44%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.472.682.653.0040.49%37.26%37.74%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.95%3.85quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.501%
Kelly -0.682%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.78%25.97%25.98%28.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.523.553.7833.33%28.41%28.17%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -16.92%E -8.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 01:01
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.240%K +0.365%G +0.003%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -1.90%E -0.501%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 00:59
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV +0.011%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -0.679%E -0.236%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 01:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -1.71%E -0.601%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 00:53
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.46%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.69%EV -2.16%E -0.572%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 00:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 01:01
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 01:00
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 00:59
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -1.10%E -0.440%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 00:58
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 00:58
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 01:00
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -7.83%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.09%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 00:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 01:01
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.58%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 01:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.06%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 01:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 01:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 00:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 00:58
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 00:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 01:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 01:01
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 01:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:58
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 00:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 00:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 01:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 01:00
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-18 01:01
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 00:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-18 01:01
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-18 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -11.78%E -5.28%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.63%EV -11.24%E -3.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-18 00:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -22.14%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-18 00:59
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.58%EV -14.15%E -6.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.78%EV -14.82%E -6.00%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-18 01:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.15%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-05-18 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-18 01:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-18 01:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-18 01:01
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-05-18 01:01
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-05-18 01:01