La escuela de los momios

Pumas v Pachuca

Inicio: 2026-05-18 01:02 UTC

Final: Pumas 1–0 Pachuca

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 39.56%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.02%39.91%39.58%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.5047.62%43.45%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pachuca (Visitante)

Predicción 34.49%2.90momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.73%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.97%34.11%34.44%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.472.682.653.0040.49%37.26%37.74%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.501%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%25.97%25.98%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.523.553.7833.33%28.41%28.17%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -16.92%E -8.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV +3.46%E +1.15%K +1.73%G +0.060%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.67%E -0.713%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 01:01
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.700%E +0.240%K +0.365%G +0.003%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -1.90%E -0.501%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 00:59
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV +0.011%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 00:59
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -0.679%E -0.236%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 01:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -1.71%E -0.601%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 00:53
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.46%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.69%EV -2.16%E -0.572%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-18 00:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 01:01
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 01:00
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -6.64%E -2.81%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.69%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 00:59
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.96%EV -1.89%E -0.763%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.00%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:01
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -8.22%E -3.54%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -1.10%E -0.440%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 00:58
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 00:58
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 01:00
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -7.83%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.09%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 00:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 01:01
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.58%E -2.83%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 01:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.06%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 01:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 01:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 00:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.81%EV -9.80%E -4.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 01:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 00:58
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 00:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 01:01
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 01:01
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 01:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-18 00:58
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 00:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 00:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-18 01:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 01:00
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-18 01:01
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-18 01:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 00:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-18 01:01
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -10.99%E -4.88%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-18 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -11.78%E -5.28%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.06%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.63%EV -11.24%E -3.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-18 00:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -12.97%E -5.89%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -22.14%E -7.38%K -11.07%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-18 00:59
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.58%EV -14.15%E -6.52%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.78%EV -14.82%E -6.00%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-18 01:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.15%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-05-18 01:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-18 01:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-18 01:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-18 01:01
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-05-18 01:01
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-05-18 01:01