Language:English
Pumas v Mazatlán FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 73.97%1.35fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -12.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.69%73.94%73.96%76.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.86%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mazatlán FC (Visit)
Prediction 10.18%9.82fair odd
EV +6.91%
Edge +0.658%
Kelly +0.727%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.91%10.15%10.27%11.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.758.929.0010.5012.90%11.21%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.85%6.31fair odd
EV +3.00%
Edge +0.461%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.39%15.91%15.77%19.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.615.506.5022.22%17.83%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 73.97%; Mazatlán FC (Visit): 10.18%; Draw: 15.85%. For Mazatlán FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.82. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +6.91%E +0.658%K +0.727%G +0.050% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +3.00%E +0.461%K +0.545%G +0.016% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.33%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.36%EV +0.799%E +0.081%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.31%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.19%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.85I 10.15%NM 9.70%EV +0.290%E +0.029%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.11%EV +0.144%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.39%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.22I 10.85%NM 10.18%EV -6.12%E -0.664%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -6.51%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.38%EV -7.35%E -0.807%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.84%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.42%EV -7.86%E -0.868%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.21%EV -10.91%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.32%EV -11.97%E -10.06%K -63.01%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -11.42%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.02%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -28.69%E -6.38%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.19%E -12.23%K -88.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -0.965%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.86%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -13.64%E -2.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 15:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.24%EV -11.23%E -9.36%K -56.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 17:30 |