مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pumas v Mazatlán FC

البداية: 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pumas 3–1 Mazatlán FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pumas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.97%1.35السعر العادل
EV -3.84%
الأفضلية -2.95%
Kelly -12.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.69%73.94%73.96%76.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.86%80.00%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mazatlán FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.18%9.82السعر العادل
EV +6.91%
الأفضلية +0.658%
Kelly +0.727%
النمو +0.050%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.91%10.15%10.27%11.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.758.929.0010.5012.90%11.21%11.11%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.85%6.31السعر العادل
EV +3.00%
الأفضلية +0.461%
Kelly +0.545%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.39%15.91%15.77%19.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.615.506.5022.22%17.83%18.18%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +6.91%E +0.658%K +0.727%G +0.050%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +3.00%E +0.461%K +0.545%G +0.016%6.9%2026-04-12 17:30
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.33%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.36%EV +0.799%E +0.081%K +0.090%G +0.001%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.31%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.19%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.70%EV +0.290%E +0.029%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.11%EV +0.144%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:30
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.39%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:01
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:00
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 17:30
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.22I 10.85%NM 10.18%EV -6.12%E -0.664%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -6.51%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.38%EV -7.35%E -0.807%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 74.84%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.42%EV -7.86%E -0.868%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-12 16:59
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 17:30
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:30
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.21%EV -10.91%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.32%EV -11.97%E -10.06%K -63.01%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -11.42%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:01
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.02%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 17:30
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:01
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 17:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -28.69%E -6.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 17:01
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.19%E -12.23%K -88.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -0.965%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:01
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.86%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -13.64%E -2.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:28
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.24%EV -11.23%E -9.36%K -56.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%2.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-04-12 17:30