L’École des cotes

Pumas v Mazatlán FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Score final : Pumas 3–1 Mazatlán FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 73.97%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -12.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.69%73.94%73.96%76.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.86%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mazatlán FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.18%9.82cote équitable
EV +6.91%
Avantage +0.658%
Kelly +0.727%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.91%10.15%10.27%11.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.758.929.0010.5012.90%11.21%11.11%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.85%6.31cote équitable
EV +3.00%
Avantage +0.461%
Kelly +0.545%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.39%15.91%15.77%19.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.615.506.5022.22%17.83%18.18%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +6.91%E +0.658%K +0.727%G +0.050%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +3.00%E +0.461%K +0.545%G +0.016%6.9%2026-04-12 17:30
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.33%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.36%EV +0.799%E +0.081%K +0.090%G +0.001%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.31%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.19%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.70%EV +0.290%E +0.029%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.11%EV +0.144%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:30
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.39%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:01
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:00
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 17:30
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.22I 10.85%NM 10.18%EV -6.12%E -0.664%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -6.51%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.38%EV -7.35%E -0.807%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 74.84%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.42%EV -7.86%E -0.868%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-12 16:59
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 17:30
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:30
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.21%EV -10.91%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.32%EV -11.97%E -10.06%K -63.01%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -11.42%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:01
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.02%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 17:30
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:01
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 17:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -28.69%E -6.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 17:01
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.19%E -12.23%K -88.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -0.965%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:01
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.86%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -13.64%E -2.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:28
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.24%EV -11.23%E -9.36%K -56.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%2.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-04-12 17:30