La escuela de los momios

Pumas v Mazatlán FC

Inicio: 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Final: Pumas 3–1 Mazatlán FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 73.97%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -2.95%
Kelly -12.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.69%73.94%73.96%76.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.251.251.3086.21%79.86%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mazatlán FC (Visitante)

Predicción 10.18%9.82momio equitativo
EV +6.91%
Ventaja +0.658%
Kelly +0.727%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.91%10.15%10.27%11.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.758.929.0010.5012.90%11.21%11.11%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.85%6.31momio equitativo
EV +3.00%
Ventaja +0.461%
Kelly +0.545%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.39%15.91%15.77%19.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.615.506.5022.22%17.83%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +6.91%E +0.658%K +0.727%G +0.050%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +3.00%E +0.461%K +0.545%G +0.016%6.9%2026-04-12 17:30
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.30%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.64%EV +1.82%E +0.182%K +0.202%G +0.004%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.06%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%3.8%2026-04-12 17:00
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.33%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.36%EV +0.799%E +0.081%K +0.090%G +0.001%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.31%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.19%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.70%EV +0.290%E +0.029%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.11%EV +0.144%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:30
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.10%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.39%EV -4.13%E -0.683%K -0.819%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:01
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -0.219%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 17:00
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:30
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.27%E -0.345%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 17:30
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 73.91%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.22I 10.85%NM 10.18%EV -6.12%E -0.664%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -6.51%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:30
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.38%EV -7.35%E -0.807%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 74.84%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.42%EV -7.86%E -0.868%K -0.976%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV +1.41%E +0.221%K +0.261%G +0.004%6.0%2026-04-12 16:59
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.64%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:01
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -8.89%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 17:30
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.05%E -4.77%K -22.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 17:30
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:30
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -6.79%E -5.39%K -26.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -14.43%E -2.67%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -8.36%E -0.929%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.84%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.21%EV -10.91%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -11.26%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:29
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.32%EV -11.97%E -10.06%K -63.01%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -11.42%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -4.93%E -0.821%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 17:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 17:01
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -8.27%E -6.67%K -34.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.02%E -3.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 17:30
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 17:01
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 17:30
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.72%EV -10.49%E -8.67%K -49.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.35%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.92%EV -17.60%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -28.69%E -6.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 17:01
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 74.22%EV -14.19%E -12.23%K -88.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -13.46%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -9.01%E -7.33%K -39.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -0.965%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.72%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -16.81%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 17:01
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -7.53%E -6.03%K -30.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.77%E -4.15%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 17:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.75%E -7.99%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.55%E -2.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.85%E -2.34%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.86%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.87%EV -13.64%E -2.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:28
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.24%EV -11.23%E -9.36%K -56.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -21.09%E -2.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -9.68%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%2.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-04-12 17:30