Language:English
Puebla v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Puebla (Local)
Prediction 34.86%2.87fair odd
EV -0.658%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.356%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.54%34.99%34.82%38.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.572.602.8543.10%38.85%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 38.34%2.61fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.11%38.21%38.38%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.452.7044.44%40.58%40.82%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%26.80%26.80%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.413.423.6234.72%29.31%29.24%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Puebla (Local): 34.86%; León (Visit): 38.34%; Draw: 26.80%. For León (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV +3.53%E +1.31%K +2.08%G +0.073% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV +3.53%E +1.31%K +2.08%G +0.073% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -15.30%E -6.30%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV +0.847%E +0.322%K +0.520%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -15.30%E -6.30%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -16.34%E -6.81%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -16.34%E -6.81%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -6.58%E -2.46%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -2.22%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -5.94%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -17.04%E -7.16%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -2.22%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -3.45%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -2.99%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -19.13%E -8.25%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -19.13%E -8.25%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.35%EV -9.02%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.51%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 00:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -0.658%E -0.231%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%EV -6.44%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.62%EV -4.84%E -1.77%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.90%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.48%EV -4.33%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.73%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.35%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.68%E -3.31%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -18.09%E -7.70%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.82%E -7.92%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.86%EV -12.16%E -4.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.53%EV -12.57%E -5.51%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 00:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.72%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.56% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |