Школа коэффициентов

Puebla v León

Начало: 2026-04-11 01:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Puebla (Хозяева)

Прогноз 34.86%2.87справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.658%
Преимущество -0.231%
Kelly -0.356%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
33.54%34.99%34.82%38.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.322.572.602.8543.10%38.85%38.46%35.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

León (Гости)

Прогноз 38.34%2.61справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.53%
Преимущество +1.31%
Kelly +2.08%
Рост +0.073%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.11%38.21%38.38%40.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.252.462.452.7044.44%40.58%40.82%37.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.80%3.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.99%
Преимущество -0.826%
Kelly -1.14%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.89%26.80%26.80%29.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.413.423.6234.72%29.31%29.24%27.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV +3.53%E +1.31%K +2.08%G +0.073%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:35
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV +3.53%E +1.31%K +2.08%G +0.073%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 00:35
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:35
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:35
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:35
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:35
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:35
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:35
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -15.30%E -6.30%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV +0.847%E +0.322%K +0.520%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 00:35
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -15.30%E -6.30%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -16.34%E -6.81%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 00:35
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -16.34%E -6.81%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 00:35
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 00:35
Coolbet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -6.58%E -2.46%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -2.22%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -5.94%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 00:45
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -17.04%E -7.16%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -2.22%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 00:35
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -3.45%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -2.99%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 00:55
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -19.13%E -8.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 00:35
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -19.13%E -8.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 00:35
Bovada2.61I 38.31%NM 35.35%EV -9.02%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.51%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 00:44
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:55
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:55
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:54
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 00:50
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 00:50
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 00:45
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -0.658%E -0.231%K -0.356%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%EV -6.44%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:55
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.62%EV -4.84%E -1.77%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.90%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.48%EV -4.33%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 00:55
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.73%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.35%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 00:55
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:55
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 00:55
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 00:54
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 00:55
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 00:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.68%E -3.31%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 00:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 00:50
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 00:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 00:55
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -18.09%E -7.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-11 00:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 00:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 00:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 00:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 00:45
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 00:40
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.82%E -7.92%K -12.14%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-11 00:35
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.86%EV -12.16%E -4.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.53%EV -12.57%E -5.51%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 00:51
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.72%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 00:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-04-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-04-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-04-11 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-04-11 00:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-11 00:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.56%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-04-11 00:55