La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Puebla v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Puebla (Local)
Predicción 34.86%2.87momio equitativo
EV -0.658%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.356%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.54%34.99%34.82%38.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.572.602.8543.10%38.85%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
León (Visitante)
Predicción 38.34%2.61momio equitativo
EV +3.53%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +2.08%
Crecimiento +0.073%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.11%38.21%38.38%40.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.7044.44%40.58%40.82%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.89%26.80%26.80%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.413.423.6234.72%29.31%29.24%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV +3.53%E +1.31%K +2.08%G +0.073% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV +3.53%E +1.31%K +2.08%G +0.073% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV +1.61%E +0.609%K +0.978%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -15.30%E -6.30%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV +0.847%E +0.322%K +0.520%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -15.30%E -6.30%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -16.34%E -6.81%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -16.34%E -6.81%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -0.303%E -0.117%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.45%E -0.566%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -3.53%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -6.58%E -2.46%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -2.22%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -5.94%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -17.04%E -7.16%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -2.22%E -0.871%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -3.45%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -2.99%E -0.826%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -19.13%E -8.25%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -19.13%E -8.25%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Bovada | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.35%EV -9.02%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.51%EV -5.67%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 00:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.87%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -0.658%E -0.231%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%EV -6.44%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.62%EV -4.84%E -1.77%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.90%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.48%EV -4.33%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.73%EV -6.93%E -2.60%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -6.82%E -2.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -8.35%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.55%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.89%E -2.18%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.68%E -3.31%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.97%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.63%E -2.88%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -18.09%E -7.70%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.57%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.14%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.21%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.89%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -9.37%E -3.60%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -14.25%E -4.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -14.60%E -5.96%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.86%E -5.14%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.82%E -7.92%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.86%EV -12.16%E -4.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.53%EV -12.57%E -5.51%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.57%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 00:51 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.12%E -4.36%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -13.72%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.23%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.56% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |