Language:English
Pachuca v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pachuca (Local)
Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.44%56.20%56.25%60.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.631.651.7166.67%61.24%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 18.64%5.36fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.82%18.74%18.68%21.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.965.005.5024.39%20.14%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV +0.603%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.201%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.12%25.06%25.06%26.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.00%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pachuca (Local): 56.20%; Querétaro (Visit): 18.64%; Draw: 25.15%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -13.44%E -8.73%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +2.55%E +0.463%K +0.566%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV +0.603%E +0.151%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.46%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.65%EV +1.99%E +0.363%K +0.444%G +0.009% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.31%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +1.61%E +0.296%K +0.363%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV +0.122%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.65%EV -5.43%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -11.76%E -7.49%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -15.69%E -10.46%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.83%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.60%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 00:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.13%EV -9.20%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 00:58 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 00:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -17.96%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -19.27%E -4.45%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.44%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -23.56%E -5.75%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.19% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |