L’École des cotes

Pachuca v Querétaro

2026-07-27 01:06 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Prévision 60.13%1.66cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -2.77%
Kelly -7.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.09%60.17%60.05%63.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.531.5971.43%65.85%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.80%5.95cote équitable
EV +7.55%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.80%16.73%16.78%18.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.605.506.4020.83%17.85%18.18%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.07%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.809%
Avantage -0.188%
Kelly -0.245%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%23.10%23.17%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.024.004.3028.57%24.88%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +7.55%E +1.18%K +1.40%G +0.106%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.809%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:29
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +7.55%E +1.18%K +1.40%G +0.106%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.809%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 22:29
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.23%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.27%EV +5.37%E +0.856%K +1.02%G +0.055%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.49%EV -9.81%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 01:05
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +5.03%E +0.805%K +0.958%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +5.03%E +0.805%K +0.958%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +5.03%E +0.805%K +0.958%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +5.03%E +0.805%K +0.958%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +5.03%E +0.805%K +0.958%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.61%E -7.90%K -24.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +5.03%E +0.805%K +0.958%G +0.048%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.27%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.31%EV +4.53%E +0.728%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 05:59
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.27%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.31%EV +4.53%E +0.728%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 06:00
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +2.51%E +0.412%K +0.492%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 22:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +2.51%E +0.412%K +0.492%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -13.42%E -9.32%K -30.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV +2.51%E +0.412%K +0.492%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -14.02%E -9.80%K -32.60%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +2.51%E +0.412%K +0.492%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 22:30
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +0.830%E +0.138%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 22:29
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV +0.830%E +0.138%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 23:40
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.17%EV -14.62%E -10.30%K -34.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV +0.830%E +0.138%K +0.166%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.53%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 03:45
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -15.82%E -11.30%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -2.53%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-25 22:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.37%E -0.586%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 01:09
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -5.89%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 00:04
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.92%EV -6.23%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.72%EV -8.19%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 13:44
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 16.87%EV -7.24%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 00:10
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.809%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 00:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -0.809%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 01:09
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -9.21%E -6.10%K -18.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 23:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -19.26%E -5.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -1.96%E -0.462%K -0.604%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 00:05
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 00:00
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.43%EV -10.93%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -14.65%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 09:04
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -0.809%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 07:05
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 01:09
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 16:49
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 16:49
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 00:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -12.61%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -15.98%E -3.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 01:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.98%E -3.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 00:03
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -15.98%E -3.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 01:05
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -15.98%E -3.20%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -9.34%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 07:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 22:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 06:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 06:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 06:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 06:55
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -19.34%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 01:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.40%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%2.2%2026-07-26 01:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.14%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-07-25 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-07-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-07-25 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-07-25 18:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-07-26 01:10