Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pachuca v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 01:06 UTC

Score final : Pachuca 1–2 Querétaro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pachuca (Local)

Prévision 56.20%1.78cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -5.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.44%56.20%56.25%60.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.651.7166.67%61.24%60.61%58.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.64%5.36cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.463%
Kelly +0.566%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.82%18.74%18.68%21.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.965.005.5024.39%20.14%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.603%
Avantage +0.151%
Kelly +0.201%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.12%25.06%25.06%26.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.00%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pachuca (Local) : 56.20% ; Querétaro (Visiteur) : 18.64% ; Match nul : 25.15%. Pour Querétaro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.36. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.55%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -13.44%E -8.73%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +2.55%E +0.463%K +0.566%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV +0.603%E +0.151%K +0.201%G +0.001%8.1%2026-07-27 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.46%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.65%EV +1.99%E +0.363%K +0.444%G +0.009%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.31%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +1.61%E +0.296%K +0.363%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV +0.122%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.65%EV -5.43%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:05
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -11.76%E -7.49%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 00:55
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -15.69%E -10.46%K -31.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 01:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.83%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.60%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 01:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 01:05
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.13%EV -9.20%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 00:58
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 01:05
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 01:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-27 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 01:05
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:04
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:05
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -17.96%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 01:04
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -19.27%E -4.45%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.44%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -23.56%E -5.75%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-07-27 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-27 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-27 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-27 01:05
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.19%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-07-27 01:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-07-27 01:05