Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pachuca v Querétaro

Início: 2026-07-27 01:06 UTC

Final: Pachuca 1–2 Querétaro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pachuca (Local)

Previsão 56.20%1.78odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -5.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.44%56.20%56.25%60.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.631.651.7166.67%61.24%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Querétaro (Visitante)

Previsão 18.64%5.36odd justa
EV +2.55%
Vantagem +0.463%
Kelly +0.566%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.82%18.74%18.68%21.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.965.005.5024.39%20.14%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.15%3.98odd justa
EV +0.603%
Vantagem +0.151%
Kelly +0.201%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.12%25.06%25.06%26.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.00%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pachuca (Local): 56.20%; Querétaro (Visitante): 18.64%; Empate: 25.15%. Para Querétaro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.36. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -13.44%E -8.73%K -24.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +2.55%E +0.463%K +0.566%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV +0.603%E +0.151%K +0.201%G +0.001%8.1%2026-07-27 00:30
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.46%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.65%EV +1.99%E +0.363%K +0.444%G +0.009%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.31%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +1.61%E +0.296%K +0.363%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV +0.122%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.65%EV -5.43%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:05
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 01:05
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -11.76%E -7.49%K -20.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 01:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 00:55
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -15.69%E -10.46%K -31.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 01:00
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.83%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.60%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 01:05
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 01:05
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.13%EV -9.20%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 00:58
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 01:05
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 01:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-27 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-27 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 01:05
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:04
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-27 01:05
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -17.96%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 01:04
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -19.27%E -4.45%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-27 01:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.44%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -23.56%E -5.75%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 01:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-07-27 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-07-27 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-27 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-07-27 01:05
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.19%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-07-27 01:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-07-27 01:05