Idioma:Español
Pachuca v Querétaro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pachuca (Local)
Predicción 56.20%1.78momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -5.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.44%56.20%56.25%60.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.651.7166.67%61.24%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Querétaro (Visitante)
Predicción 18.64%5.36momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.463%
Kelly +0.566%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.82%18.74%18.68%21.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.965.005.5024.39%20.14%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.15%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.603%
Ventaja +0.151%
Kelly +0.201%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.12%25.06%25.06%26.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.754.0030.30%27.00%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pachuca (Local): 56.20%; Querétaro (Visitante): 18.64%; Empate: 25.15%. Para Querétaro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.36. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.55%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -13.44%E -8.73%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +2.55%E +0.463%K +0.566%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV +0.603%E +0.151%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.46%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.65%EV +1.99%E +0.363%K +0.444%G +0.009% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.31%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV +1.61%E +0.296%K +0.363%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.33%EV -8.39%E -5.15%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.681%E +0.126%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -0.655%E -0.166%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.89%E -2.27%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.96%EV +0.122%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.65%EV -5.43%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.32%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -1.18%E -0.223%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -11.76%E -7.49%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -2.12%E -0.403%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -12.32%E -7.90%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -3.05%E -0.586%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.51%E -5.91%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.91%E -0.963%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.82%E -4.77%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -15.69%E -10.46%K -31.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -6.78%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.96%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.83%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.60%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -7.71%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -5.01%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.13%EV -9.20%E -1.89%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.74%EV -8.95%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 00:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.91%E -0.490%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.51%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.44%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -10.07%E -6.30%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.19%EV -12.88%E -8.31%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -14.23%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.57%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -16.10%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -17.96%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.95%E -5.52%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -19.27%E -4.45%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -5.68%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.44%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -23.56%E -5.75%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 01:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.92% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.19% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-27 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |