La escuela de los momios

Pachuca v Querétaro

2026-07-27 01:06 UTC — Liga MX

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pachuca (Local)

Predicción 59.88%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -6.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.45%60.05%60.00%63.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.521.531.6071.43%65.75%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Querétaro (Visitante)

Predicción 16.73%5.98momio equitativo
EV +7.05%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.092%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.80%16.59%16.62%18.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.635.576.4020.83%17.77%17.95%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.39%4.28momio equitativo
EV +0.570%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.173%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.78%23.35%23.38%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.994.004.3028.57%25.05%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +7.05%E +1.10%K +1.31%G +0.092%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV +0.570%E +0.132%K +0.173%G +0.001%5.5%2026-07-25 22:29
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +7.05%E +1.10%K +1.31%G +0.092%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV +0.570%E +0.132%K +0.173%G +0.001%5.5%2026-07-25 22:29
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.01%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.25%EV +5.72%E +0.904%K +1.07%G +0.061%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.74%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 03:15
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.01%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.25%EV +5.72%E +0.904%K +1.07%G +0.061%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.74%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 03:14
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.49%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.12%EV +5.72%E +0.904%K +1.07%G +0.061%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.38%EV -8.32%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 03:10
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.82%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -2.94%E -0.708%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 03:04
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.97%E -8.14%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.97%E -8.14%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.97%E -8.14%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.97%E -8.14%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.97%E -8.14%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -11.97%E -8.14%K -25.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV +4.54%E +0.727%K +0.866%G +0.039%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 22:29
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -13.17%E -9.08%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +2.04%E +0.334%K +0.399%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 22:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -13.17%E -9.08%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +2.04%E +0.334%K +0.399%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -13.77%E -9.56%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV +2.04%E +0.334%K +0.399%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -14.36%E -10.05%K -33.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +2.04%E +0.334%K +0.399%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 22:30
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.363%E +0.060%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 03:15
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.17%EV -14.96%E -10.54%K -35.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV +0.363%E +0.060%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 22:29
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -16.16%E -11.54%K -40.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -2.98%E -0.514%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-25 22:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -3.82%E -0.664%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 05:24
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.82%E -0.664%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 04:25
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -4.66%E -0.817%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.12%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 05:25
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.44%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -5.49%E -0.972%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.15%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 04:19
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.92%EV -6.66%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.72%EV -6.91%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 13:44
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 16.73%EV -6.83%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 04:25
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.00%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +0.570%E +0.132%K +0.173%G +0.001%6.8%2026-07-25 01:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -8.00%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -18.14%E -5.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.67%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 00:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -4.18%E -2.62%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -9.67%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -13.46%E -3.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -4.18%E -2.62%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -9.67%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -13.46%E -3.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:54
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.67%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 05:24
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 07:05
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 04:10
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.43%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.96%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 01:09
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 16:49
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 16:49
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 00:05
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.64%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -13.02%E -2.50%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 03:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -13.17%E -9.08%K -29.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -13.02%E -2.50%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 04:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 01:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 00:03
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-20 01:05
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -8.08%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 07:05
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 03:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 03:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 02:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.38%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 03:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -19.71%E -4.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 22:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -19.71%E -4.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 01:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-07-26 05:20
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-07-26 05:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.1%2026-07-26 05:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23%2.5%2026-07-26 05:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.14%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-07-25 23:35