Language:English
Pachuca v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pachuca (Local)
Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.700%
Kelly +0.994%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.44%30.58%30.22%34.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.013.003.3840.00%33.26%33.33%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.73%42.85%43.10%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2848.78%46.49%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%26.57%26.68%27.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.423.7032.26%29.18%29.20%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pachuca (Local): 30.29%; Guadalajara (Visit): 43.01%; Draw: 26.71%. For Pachuca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV +2.37%E +0.700%K +0.994%G +0.024% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -1.27%E -0.389%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.32%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.64%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -6.67%E -3.08%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 22:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 22:52 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.90%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-25 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -13.08%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.98%E -5.30%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.16%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -24.29%E -9.71%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |