默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pachuca v Guadalajara

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 23:03 UTC

最终结果: Pachuca 1–1 Guadalajara

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pachuca (主队)

预测 30.29%3.30公平赔率
EV +2.37%
优势 +0.700%
Kelly +0.994%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 3.38

博彩公司预测分布
28.44%30.58%30.22%34.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.503.013.003.3840.00%33.26%33.33%29.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

Guadalajara (客队)

预测 43.01%2.33公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -0.853%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
38.73%42.85%43.10%44.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.152.152.2848.78%46.49%46.51%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.71%3.74公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.320%
Kelly -0.438%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.16%26.57%26.68%27.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.433.423.7032.26%29.18%29.20%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pachuca (主队):30.29%;Guadalajara (客队):43.01%;平局:26.71%。 对于“Pachuca (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.30。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.38,对应+2.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV +2.37%E +0.700%K +0.994%G +0.024%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -1.27%E -0.389%K -0.562%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.32%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:49
GTbets🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.64%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -6.67%E -3.08%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 08:19
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 22:39
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 22:33
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 22:00
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:55
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 22:30
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 22:30
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 22:52
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 22:14
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 23:00
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 22:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 23:00
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 22:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 22:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 22:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 22:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.90%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 22:34
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 21:05
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -13.08%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.98%E -5.30%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.16%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-29 23:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -24.29%E -9.71%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-29 22:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-08-29 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-29 23:00
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-08-29 22:20
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-08-29 23:00
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-08-29 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%3.3%2026-08-29 23:00