StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pachuca v Guadalajara

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-29 23:03 UTC

Endstand: Pachuca 1–1 Guadalajara

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Pachuca (Heim)

Prognose 30.29%3.30faire Quote
EV +2.37%
Vorteil +0.700%
Kelly +0.994%
Wachstum +0.024%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.44%30.58%30.22%34.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.503.013.003.3840.00%33.26%33.33%29.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Guadalajara (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.01%2.33faire Quote
EV -1.94%
Vorteil -0.853%
Kelly -1.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.73%42.85%43.10%44.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.152.152.2848.78%46.49%46.51%43.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.71%3.74faire Quote
EV -1.18%
Vorteil -0.320%
Kelly -0.438%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.16%26.57%26.68%27.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.433.423.7032.26%29.18%29.20%27.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Pachuca (Heim): 30.29%; Guadalajara (Auswärts): 43.01%; Unentschieden: 26.71%. Für Pachuca (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.30. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.38 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.37%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV +2.37%E +0.700%K +0.994%G +0.024%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -1.27%E -0.389%K -0.562%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.32%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:49
GTbets🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.64%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -6.67%E -3.08%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 08:19
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 22:39
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 22:33
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 22:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 22:00
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 22:55
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 22:30
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 22:30
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 22:52
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 22:14
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 23:00
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 22:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 23:00
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 22:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 22:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 22:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 22:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.90%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 22:34
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 21:05
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -13.08%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.98%E -5.30%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.16%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-29 23:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -24.29%E -9.71%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-29 22:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-08-29 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-29 23:00
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-08-29 22:20
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-08-29 23:00
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-08-29 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%3.3%2026-08-29 23:00