Idioma:Español
Pachuca v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pachuca (Local)
Predicción 30.29%3.30momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +0.700%
Kelly +0.994%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.44%30.58%30.22%34.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.503.013.003.3840.00%33.26%33.33%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 43.01%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.853%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.73%42.85%43.10%44.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.152.152.2848.78%46.49%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.438%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%26.57%26.68%27.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.423.7032.26%29.18%29.20%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pachuca (Local): 30.29%; Guadalajara (Visitante): 43.01%; Empate: 26.71%. Para Pachuca (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.30. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.37%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV +2.37%E +0.700%K +0.994%G +0.024% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -1.27%E -0.389%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.32%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.39%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -1.94%E -0.853%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.64%EV -3.69%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -6.67%E -3.08%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 22:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.28%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 22:52 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -1.18%E -0.320%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.90%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-25 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -13.08%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.98%E -5.30%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.69%E -4.80%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.16%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 41.20%EV -10.55%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -24.29%E -9.71%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |