语言:简体中文
Necaxa v Toluca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Necaxa (主队)
预测 18.30%5.46公平赔率
EV +7.06%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.46%
增长率 +0.103%
假设最高赔率为 5.85
博彩公司预测分布
16.53%18.66%18.16%23.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.884.944.905.8525.77%20.24%20.41%17.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
Toluca (客队)
预测 57.85%1.73公平赔率
EV +5.87%
优势 +3.21%
Kelly +7.08%
增长率 +0.416%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
50.65%57.38%57.97%59.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.601.601.8367.57%62.33%62.50%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.84%4.19公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -0.722%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.04%23.96%23.87%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.853.904.1030.30%25.94%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Necaxa (主队)：18.30%；Toluca (客队)：57.85%；平局：23.84%。 对于“Necaxa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.46。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.85，对应+7.06%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -28.99%E -7.47%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.65%EV +5.87%E +3.21%K +7.08%G +0.416% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.46%EV -13.21%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -19.48%E -4.43%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -2.80%E -1.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.24%E -0.546%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 00:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.12%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.86%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.56%EV -6.85%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.91%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.27%EV +2.12%E +0.380%K +0.462%G +0.010% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.76%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.97%EV -4.14%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.31%EV +1.57%E +0.283%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.92%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -3.67%E -0.908%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV +7.06%E +1.21%K +1.46%G +0.103% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -2.95%E -0.725%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -6.28%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -15.82%E -3.44%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -7.43%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -3.01%E -0.567%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.77%EV -8.59%E -5.44%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV +0.654%E +0.119%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 00:52 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.60%EV -10.33%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -10.90%E -7.08%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.90%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.31%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.83%EV -12.25%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-22 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.31%E -6.46%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-02-21 21:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24%EV -13.99%E -2.98%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -14.38%E -9.71%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.66% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |